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Campaign Watch: Swing Seats in Congress

There are 468 congressional races in November as Republicans try to recapture control of Congress and Democrats try to extend their margins in both the House and Senate.

But for all of the energy and money partisans will plow into the fall campaign and election, the Congressional campaign will boil down to Senate campaigns in 14 states and 49 House races. The other 386 House contests will be dictated largely by the popularity of incumbents, by political tradition and by the pattern of campaign financing.

These are the races that have been identified by the Republican and Democratic parties as the pivotal contests where they will focus their financial and organizational muscle.

Here is a look at the most contentious congressional campaigns, the name of the incumbent, the state or districtís recent political history and the current candidates with the amount of campaign funding they have received in this election cycle.

The numbers: Democrats control the Senate, 51-49, because two independents, Sens. Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernie Sanders of Vermont, generally vote with them.

The Senate battleground is the 33 states where Senate seats are at stake. Of those seats, 21 are now held by Republicans, 12 by Democrats. That means Republicans must spread their resources over a larger area. The partyís problems are compounded by the retirement of five popular Republicans, four of them from swing states. Seats vacated by Sens. Wayne Allard of Colorado, Pete Domenici of New Mexico, Chuck Hagel of Nebraska and John Warner of Virginia are being hotly contested. Republicans are expected to hold onto the seat vacated by the fifth retiree, Sen. Larry Craig of Idaho.

Democrats now have a 236-199 advantage (with three vacancies) in the House. With 29 Republican representatives retiring, Democrats hope to add to that advantage.

With major debate expected over the future of the Iraq war, expiring tax cuts, health care reform, the nationís ailing public transportation system and the weakening finances of the Medicare and Social Security systems, the question of who controls Congress—and to what extent—is crucial to both parties.


State Candidates Money Raised
Alabama House District 2: Jay K. Love-R
Bobby Neal Bright, Sr-D
District 5: Cheryl Baswell Gunthrie-R
Parker Griffith-D
$567,166
$212,061
$319,050
$306,144
Alaska House District 1: Don Young-R*
Ethan A. Berkowitz-D
$879,637*
$401,266
  Senate Ted Stevens-R*
Mark Begich-D
Primary on Tuesday, August 26, 2008
$3,424,191*
$267,090
Arizona House District 1: Sydney Hay-R
Ann Kirkpatrick-D
District 5: Harry Mitchell-D
David Schweikert-R
Primaries on Tuesday, September 2, 2008
$268,373
$660,558
$1,362,330
$681,353
Colorado House District 4: Betsy Markey-D
Marilyn Musgrave-R
Primary on Tuesday, August 12, 2008
$594,510
$1,383,191
  Senate Bob Schaffer-R
Mark Udall-D
Primary on Tuesday, August 12, 2008
$3,213,045
$5,158,802
Connecticut House District 4: Chris Shays-R*
Jim Himes-D
District 5: Chris Murphy-D*
David John Cappiello-R
Primary on Tuesday, August 12, 2008
$1,733,797*
$1,399,727
$1,813,024*
$665,029
Florida House District 16: Tim Mahoney-D*
Hal Valeche-R
District 24: Tom Feeney-R*
Suzanne Kosmas-D
Primaries on Tuesday, August 26, 2008
$2,108,506*
$737,829
$982,162*
$665,077
Georgia House District 8: Jim Marshall-D*
Rick Goddard-R
$1,036,046*
$577,047
  Senate Saxby Chambliss-R*
Vernon Jones-D
Primary Runoff is August 5, 2008
$8,786,389*
$488,396
Idaho Senate Larry LaRocco-D
James E. Risch-R
$591,375
$1,262,884
Illinois House District 8: Melissa Bean-D*
Steve Greenberg-R
District 10: Mark Kirk-R*
Dan Seals-D
District 11: Tim Balderann-R
Deborah Halvorson-D
Jason Michael Wallace-3
District 18: Colleen Callahan-D
Aaron Schock-R
$2,220,569*
$522,602
$2,946,345*
$1,417,332
$103,860
$868,894
$5,115
$137,945
$1,123,170
Indiana House District 9: Baron Hill-D*
Michael E. Sodrel-R
Eric Schansberg-L
$1,413,434*
$459,093
$15,187
Kansas House District 2: Nancy Boyda-D*
Jim Ryun-R
Primary on Tuesday, August 5, 2008
$995,478*
$1,231,853
Kentucky Senate Mitch McConnell-R*
Bruce Lunsford-D
$12,909,888*
$1,461,452
Louisiana House District 4: Paul J. Carmouche-D
Chris D. Gorman-R
Primary on Saturday, September 6, 2008
$111,933
$368,929
  Senate Mary Landrieu-D*
Primary on Saturday, September 6, 2008
$7,542,131*

Maine Senate Susan Collins-R*
Tom Allen-D
$5,820,075*
$3,877,204
Michigan House District 7: Tim Walberg-R*
Mark Schauer-D
District 9: Joe Knollenberg-R*
Gary Peters-D
Primaries on Tuesday, August 5, 2008
$829,066*
$894,726
$1,847,146*
$750,162
Minnesota House District 3: Terri Bonoff-D
Erin Paulsen-R
Primary on Tuesday, September 9, 2008
$472,137
$772,199
  Senate Norm Coleman-R*
Al Franen-D
Primary on Tuesday, September 9, 2008
$13,105,628*
$9,356,168
Mississippi House District 1: Travis W. Childers -D
Greg Davis -R
John M. Wages, Jr -3
$1,148,076
$1,339,059
$1,555
Missouri House District 6: Sam Graves-R*
Kay Barnes-D
District 9: Judith W. Baker-D
Robert Frank Onder Jr-R
Primaries on Tuesday, August 5, 2008
$1,531,698*
$1,405,341
$216,190
$370,198
Nebraska Senate Michael O. Johanns-R
Scott Kleeb-D
$2,166,312
$399,473
Nevada House District 3: Jon Porter-R*
Robert James Daskas-D
Primary on Tuesday, August 12, 2008
$1,645,574*
$583,983
New Hampshire House District 1: Carol Shea-Porter-D*
Jeb Bradley-R
Primary on Tuesday, September 9, 2008
$662,539*
$566,042
  Senate John Sununu-R*
Jeanne Shaheen-D
Primary on Tuesday, September 9, 2008
$5,673,952*
$2,632,627
New Jersey House District 3: John H. Adler-D
Chris Myers-R
District 7: Leonard Lance-R
Linda D. Stender-D
$1,416,277
$377,386
$382,145
$1,193,275
New Mexico House District 1: Martin Heinrich-D
Darren White-R
$734,861
$601,274
  Senate Steve Pearce-R
Tom Udall-D
$1,892,378
$3,216,864
New York House District 13: Domenic M. Recchia Jr-D
Jamshad Wyne-R
District 20: Kristen Gillibrand-D*
Sandy Treadwell-R
District 25: Peter Cappuccilli Jr-R
Dan Maffei-D
District 26: Alice J. Kryzan-D
Jonathan Powers-D
David C. Bellavia-R
Christopher J. Lee-R
District 29: John Kuhl-R*
Eric Massa-D
Primaries on Tuesday, September 9, 2008
$350,460
$0
$3,165,043*
$1,681,034
$62,410
$853,982
$287,508
$598,327
$0
$0
$627,561*
$894,780
North Carolina House District 8: Robin Hayes-R*
Larry Kissell-D
$1,812,543*
$497,615
  Senate Elizabeth Dole-R*
Kay Hagan-D
$9,581,052*
$1,522,170
Ohio House District 1: Steve Chabot-R*
Steven Leo Driehaus-D
District 2: Jean Schmidt-R*
Victoria Wells Wulsin-D
District 15: Mary Jo Kilroy-D
Steve Stivers-R
District 16: John A. Boccieri-D
Kirk Schuring-R
$1,294,081*
$694,701
$566,577*
$770,962
$1,208,858
$788,840
$692,020
$490,687
Oregon House District 5: Mike Erickson-R
Kurt Schrader-D
$923,514
$107,485
  Senate Gordon Smith-R*
Jeff Merkley-D
John Edward Frohnmayer-I
$9,013,651*
$1,859,957
$76,815
Pennsylvania House District 4: Jason Altimire-D*
Melissa Hart-R
District 7: Joe Sestak-D*
Wendell Craig Williams-R
District 8: Patrick Murphy-D*
Tom Manion-R
District 10: Christopher Carney-D*
Christopher Lawrence Hackett-R
$1,614,620*
$529,081
$2,428,101*
$134,898
$2,199,933*
$422,519
$1,282,043*
$1,392,646
Texas House District 22: Nick Lampson-D*
Peter Graham Olson-R
District 23: Ciro Rodriguez-D*
Lyle Larson-R
$1,346,313*
$893,161
$1,627,907*
$272,670
Virginia House District 11: Gerry Connolly-D
Keith S. Fimian-R
$653,518
$957,263
  Senate Jim Gilmore-R
Mark Warner-D
$1,386,822
$7,839,435
Washington House District 8: Darcy Burner-D
Dave Reichert-R
Primary on Tuesday, August 19, 2008
$1,396,631
$1,370,991
Wisconsin House District 8: Steve Kagen-D*
John Gard-R
$1,069,432*
$555,046
* Incumbents                                    Table compiled by Rebecca Kern






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