Campaign Watch: Deciding the Next President — Key 10

American University professor Allan J. Lichtman has developed a combination of historical facts and factors that together provide a context for the presidential campaign and an early indicator of the results.

The following is one of the 13 Keys to the White House he has devised. It takes a true or false answer. In the commentary section, you can also share your views on the related question.

Key 10 (Foreign/military failure): The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.

Tell us what you think. Has the current administration suffered a major failure in foreign or military affairs?  Would you consider Iraq a failure despite the success of the surge? Would our reputation around the world classify as a failure? And how would one judge what is and is not a failure? Once we have compiled your answers to all 13 keys, we will do a follow-up report on the results.

More: Campaign Watch: Keys to the White House | The 13 Keys