Campaign Watch: Deciding the Next President - Key 7

American University professor Allan J. Lichtman has developed a combination of historical facts and factors that together provide a context for the presidential campaign and an early indicator of the results.

The following is one of the 13 Keys to the White House he has devised. It takes a true or false answer. In the commentary section, you can also share your views on the related question.

Key 7 (Policy change): The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.

Tell us what you think. Do you believe the incumbent administration will effect major changes in national policy? Or do you think the incumbent administration will be a continuation of existing policy? Once we have compiled your answers to all 13 keys, we will do a follow-up report on the results.

More: Campaign Watch: Keys to the White House | The 13 Keys